Sunday, March 05, 2006

GBA Trigger should fall to 376 mcm/d

With the removal of gas from Short Term Storage on Saturday (only 50 GWh actually), the number of days at max rate above Safety Monitorof STS is now 1.9. This takes the GBA Trigger down to 376 mcm/d. Monday's predicted demand, however, is 365 so no Gas Balancing Alert as yet.

The NAO is still quite negative although the ensembles are trying to pull it positive. Thursday and friday might be cold (although not that cold)

One question is how much gas can be stored to bring up the levels in storage. The figure for Saturday's demand looks anomalous.


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