MRS @ 88%
At this rate MRS would deplete in January.
As expected LRS should be OK except for the fact that it passed through the same capacity constraint at Easington as Langeled (96-98 mcm/d). Bacton I am told has a capacity constraint of 158 mcm/d. I am not sure it is that high from the actions of NG on capacity - see the ANS messages.
After Christmas we will do a review of the flows to find out what is going on. Weather forecasts point towards warmer weather, but the control on GFS is going for a cold end of December.
The recent frosty weather has not been that cold. Demand has been high probably because 2Gw of AGRs are offline. Making an assumption of 50% efficiency (supposed to be 55%), that would be 96 GWh of gas which is only about 9 mcm so it looks as if there are other reasons for the relatively high demand.